The French CAC40 index rose by 1.00% in the day.The main force of Brent crude oil futures rose 2.00% in the day to 72.45 US dollars/barrel.In 2025, the profits of the "Big Seven US Stocks" are expected to increase by only 18%. Investors are looking for new targets. It is predicted that the combined profits of the seven technology giants, namely Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, NVIDIA and Tesla, will increase by only 18% in 2025, far lower than the 34% in 2024. Excluding NVIDIA, the biggest beneficiary of AI fanaticism, the combined profits of the other six companies will only increase by 3% in 2025. To this end, investors have begun to look for new investment targets, such as energy and biotechnology units. An 18% profit increase is a good performance for almost all industries, except for these large technology companies. At the same time, the profit increase of the Standard & Poor's 500 Index is expected to reach 13%, higher than this year's 10%. In other words, these technology giants will no longer be the growth benchmarks of American companies. Julian McManus, portfolio manager of investment company Janus Henderson, said: "The Big Seven may not be the engine of market growth as it was in the past year." To this end, investors have responded. According to EPFR Global data, in the week ending December 4th, the IT sector suffered the largest capital outflow in six weeks, reaching $1.4 billion, while small-cap stocks attracted $4.6 billion in capital inflow. (Global Market Broadcast)
Soochow securities interprets the meeting of the Politburo in December: there is more room for imagination in the policy of steady growth next year. soochow securities said that the meeting of the Politburo in December put forward three new formulations, indicating that there is more room for imagination in the policy of steady growth next year. The first is to "stabilize the property market and stock market". On September 26th, the Politburo meeting described the real estate market and the capital market as "to promote the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize" and "to vigorously boost the capital market". In December, the Politburo meeting put forward more directly and clearly: "Stabilize the property market and the stock market". The second is "moderately loose monetary policy". After 2010, the keynote of China's monetary policy has been "steady" for a long time, and it has changed to "moderately loose" for the first time in 14 years, and monetary policy is promising. In 2024, the regulatory mechanism of monetary policy has undergone a framework change. Since 2024, loan lending has changed from supply constraint to demand constraint, and monetary policy has gradually weakened its focus on quantitative targets and paid more attention to the role of interest rate regulation. Therefore, the adjustment of "moderate easing" in 2024 may mean that monetary policy will continue to exert its strength from the "demand side" in 2025, and continue to promote the expansion of effective financing demand by maintaining sufficient liquidity supply and reducing financing costs. The third is to "strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment". The meeting pointed out: "enrich and improve the policy toolbox, strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment, and lay a good policy' combination boxing'". The expression "extraordinary countercyclical regulation" was first put forward.Wang Wentao, Minister of Commerce, met with Coleman, Secretary-General of the OECD, and Wang Wentao, Minister of Commerce, met with Coleman, Secretary-General of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, in Beijing on December 9 to have an in-depth exchange of views on the world economic situation and further deepening bilateral cooperation. Wang Wentao pointed out that China is willing to share policy experience, conduct personnel exchanges and promote pragmatic cooperation with the OECD in the fields of trade and investment, digital economy and green development. It is hoped that the OECD can continue to give full play to the advantages of the "incubator" of global high-standard international rules, work with China to promote the construction of an open world economy and oppose protectionism. Coleman spoke highly of China's achievements in realizing economic development and opening wider to the outside world, and said that China's strong economic growth has played an important supporting role in the global economy. He is willing to cooperate more closely with China in the fields of climate change and service trade, oppose protectionism and jointly meet global challenges.The intraday increase of AUD/USD between the Australian dollar and the US dollar expanded to 1.00%, and it is now reported at 0.6463.
Brent crude oil stood at $72/barrel, up 1.57% in the day.The third fuse was triggered in the US stock market, which rose by 147.32% before the fuse.The main contract of coking coal rose 4% in the day and is now reported at 1198 yuan/ton. The main contract of coke rose by nearly 4% in a day, and is now reported at 1875 yuan/ton.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13